No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Polymarket Trader
Laoxun
0x1b26f2c4244c0ec0a12af05e6a5404d68005a280
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.9
- Realized PnL
- $719.92
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $26.77
- Potential payout
- $411.9
- Potential profit
- $385.13
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$55.61
Yes position
Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.05
- Potential profit
- $97.05
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $78.13
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $28.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.82
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.35
Yes position
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.72
No position
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.27
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.45
Canada position
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Kraken position
Canucks vs. Kraken
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74
Yes position
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Raptors position
Bulls vs. Raptors
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.34
Yes position
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.6
Yes position
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.56
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 411.9 shares
- Canucks vs. KrakenKraken 99.8% 82.55 shares
- Canucks vs. KrakenKraken 88% 82.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes 14.3% 213.04 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 37.3% 3,267.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes 62.4% 135.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes 73.7% 135.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes 46.9% 213.04 shares
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 52% 208.33 shares
- Will Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes 99.9% 100.12 shares
- Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes 51.5% 97.05 shares
- Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. FinlandCanada 78% 64.1 shares