Polymarket Trader

0x1b296Ecf556EF9a93887C82836343f58C1Ff1227-1721909506760

0x1b296ecf556ef9a93887c82836343f58c1ff1227

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.04K
Realized PnL: $1.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $9.91K
Potential payout: $18.17K
Potential profit: $8.27K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.32K

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $196.51
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$195.43

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.9%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $617.71
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $46.69

Yes position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $187.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $518.7
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $81.3
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $23.7

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $408.36
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$14.02

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $389.99
Potential profit: $379.66
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.7
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.48
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $9.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $133.21
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $107.75
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $80.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.14
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $15.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Brazil finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.6
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $13.95
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.55

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.22

Alexander Blockx position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockx

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.25

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.51

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.22

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

Juan Manuel Cerundolo position

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.95

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.44

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.7

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $33.15

Learner Tien position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Damir Dzumhur

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.58

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.22

No position

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.19

Ben Shelton position

BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.02

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Joao Fonseca position

BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.75

Yes position

Yoon arrested by Friday?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.97

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.83

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Dino Prizmic position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marton Fucsovics vs Dino Prizmic

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 23% 18 shares
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 76% 26.32 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 26% 7.69 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 136.36 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 11% 136.36 shares