Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $22.21
- Potential profit
- $20.43
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Polymarket Trader
sorate55785
0x1b42648ea13e92ed65538428381adf0ccbdd876f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.44
- Realized PnL
- $105.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.17
- Potential profit
- $22.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $21.06
- Potential profit
- $20.61
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $10.16
- Potential profit
- $7.52
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $9.24
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 6.97x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $3.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.18
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?Yes 65% 1.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?Yes 25% 4.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?Yes 66% 4.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?Yes 99.3% 3.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?Yes 65% 3.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?Yes 20% 3.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?Yes 12% 6.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?Yes 2.8% 5.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?Yes 17.8% 5.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?Yes 19% 4.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?Yes 15.8% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?Yes 26% 3.85 shares