No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- User PnL
- -$5K
Polymarket Trader
IAmSeuz
0x1b465337d65eea5544681753fe454142968c78bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- $2.4K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $246.86
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $163.77
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $494.3
- Potential profit
- $494.3
- User PnL
- -$400
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.64
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.44
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.5
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.03
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $195.72
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.13
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.15
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.9
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.64
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.78
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.37
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.87
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.97
Yes position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.46
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.62
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.77
Yes position
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$116.16
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$269.34
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$269.71
Yes position
Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$297.77
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$400
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No 70.9% 1,410.63 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 80.9% 494.3 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 13.3% 3,762.77 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Yes 7.8% 1,287.05 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?No 93.7% 1,066.78 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 72.4% 6,902.53 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 92.6% 113.86 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 71% 20 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 97.9% 510.99 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 97.9% 510.99 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?Yes 11% 3,636.36 shares
- Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes 57.9% 1,727.93 shares