Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Polymarket Trader
Kiefer8d6r
0x1b5408d48bc7fa8caf11c5f01f7109c7be95352d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.82
- Realized PnL
- $47.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pacific position
Pacific vs. Loyola Marymount
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Chucks Global Stars position
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Stars
Ends Feb 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
James Madison position
Georgia State vs. James Madison
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Tennessee position
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Pistons position
Celtics vs. Pistons
Ends Mar 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- $1.01
NC State position
Boston College vs. NC State
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.5% 65 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.7% 48 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.4% 49 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96% 44 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96% 44 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 4.6% 8 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 4.8% 53 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96.7% 10 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96.9% 38 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 97.3% 48 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87.9% 48 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 1.5% 147 shares