Polymarket Trader

95de

0x1b5655739e33491a3d831bcb51e2c74e0501715e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.82K
Realized PnL: $23.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $3.87K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.59K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 47.3%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 2.12x
User PnL: -$2.2K

No position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.12K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $874.92
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.82K

Under position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$2.12K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$860

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$72

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $416.21
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$218.98

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$76

Senegal position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$65.99

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.54

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.92

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.68

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $830.93

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.43

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $774.19

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.27

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740.54

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $738.19

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.89

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $706.03

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $701.64

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.94

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 87.3% 149 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Over 76% 100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

No 84% 759.38 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

No 95% 1,891.5 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 66% 61.25 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

No 99.9% 3,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 3,000 shares
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Japan 94% 200 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Yes 73% 76.74 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92.6% 3,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 95% 1,839.77 shares