Polymarket Trader

0x1b5f...0ecd

0x1b5f30b9a2764b1465168b661066ada341390ecd

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $35.1
Realized PnL: $85.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $939.1
Potential profit: $939.1
User PnL: -$55.65

Yes position

Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $629.08
Potential profit: $629.08
User PnL: -$74.71

No position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $150.64
Potential profit: $149.82
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$6.76

Yes position

Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be below 0%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$12.75

Yes position

Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.09
Potential profit: $67.09
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will MVK Esports win LCP 2026 Split 2?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.5
Potential profit: $63.5
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.57
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Innio's market cap be between $20B and $23B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.9
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Iliman Ndiaye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $23.24
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $23.41
Potential profit: $21.42
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$8.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.41
Potential profit: $10.41
User PnL: -$2.77

No position

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $2.8
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.39

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.48

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.03

No position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-12 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Tuyo launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" this week?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $0.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Yes 3% 51 shares
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

Yes 2.1% 8 shares
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 8% 30 shares
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 4% 2.44 shares
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?

Yes 20% 30 shares
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Yes 4% 15 shares
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Yes 4% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4% 30 shares
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.2% 25 shares
Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?

Yes 20% 21 shares
Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?

Yes 20% 79 shares
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 13% 30 shares