Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.16K
- Potential profit
- $94.16K
- User PnL
- -$188.31
Polymarket Trader
mjO
0x1b7eaebb06fd21bda8b6d92c70dff21ab6f7c6af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.19K
- Realized PnL
- $67.1K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.81K
- Potential profit
- $52.81K
- User PnL
- -$373.05
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.59K
- Potential profit
- $40.59K
- User PnL
- -$40.59
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $8.57K
- Potential profit
- $7.38K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $829.77
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.57K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $906.72
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.37
Yes position
WLFI above $0.20 on September 12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.66
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.39
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $132.04
Yes position
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.26
No position
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.03
No position
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.89
No position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.14
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$52.92
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$54.12
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$80.76
Yes position
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$83.96
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$194.4
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$279.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 62% 2,636.41 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.1% 40,000 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.1% 40,585.21 shares
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 94,155.48 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 8.2% 6,216.25 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.2% 63,417.75 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 85.6% 5,476.81 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 26.2% 16,102.24 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 79% 11,683.14 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 48% 867 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 75% 24,035.89 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 95.3% 4,954.77 shares