Polymarket Trader

collylingus

0x1b88b9bf86008c7e144cf5c861e70ea69ee8787c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.75
Realized PnL: $84.3
Win rate: 85%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.9
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.85
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $10.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.35
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.7
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.2
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.05
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.15
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.9
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.25
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.25
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $11.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $9.15

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$3.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

No 99.9% 100.1 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Up 28% 9.6 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Up 46% 11.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Down 53% 9.51 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Down 48.5% 10.39 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Up 27% 10.22 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Up 49% 10.22 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Up 58% 8.76 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Up 54.5% 9.33 shares