No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $479.71
- Potential profit
- $479.71
- User PnL
- -$12.49
Polymarket Trader
Unknownbadger
0x1b8b6d88d1a793b0d761dc157b5d3a680e24e815
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.95
- Realized PnL
- $91.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.67
- Potential profit
- $216.67
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.1
- Potential profit
- $26.1
- User PnL
- -$13.38
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.09
- Potential profit
- $22.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.25
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.68
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.49
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.33
- Potential profit
- $7.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.33
- Potential profit
- $7.33
- User PnL
- -$3.1
No position
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Newcastle position
Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Over position
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Over position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Viktoria Hruncakova position
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Bianca Andreescu
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Over position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over 25% 4 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Aiemann Zahabi 28% 3.57 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 17% 5.88 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 49% 2.04 shares
- Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai IndiansKolkata Knight Riders 91% 12.09 shares
- Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Bianca AndreescuViktoria Hruncakova 73% 10.96 shares