No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $95.05
- Potential payout
- $131.1
- Potential profit
- $36.05
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $24.07
Polymarket Trader
0x1b9d...04a8
0x1b9d95cc605b44958c11c4f201267f43f86304a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $103.44
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.34
- Potential profit
- $33.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.22
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $14.09
- Potential profit
- $13.03
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $14.09
- Potential profit
- $13.15
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $13.34
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $12.49
- Potential profit
- $11.43
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $11.99
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10.14
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 51% 50.55 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.8% 10.14 shares