Polymarket Trader

HansGALin

0x1ba7b224ab5ccdbb0f8cb3f2c1e9aacce4a6b19d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.81
Realized PnL: $6.27
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $137.13
Potential profit: $136.24
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $103.09
Potential profit: $93.14
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.07
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $61.54
Potential profit: $57.26
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $33.75
Potential profit: $33.36
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $13.83
Multiplier: 9.90x
User PnL: -$0.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.47
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$0.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 3% 33.75 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 9.7% 103.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 36% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 39% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Down 39% 7.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Down 1% 300 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Yes 0.7% 137.13 shares