Polymarket Trader

caiying

0x1bb07b32d2040235ffc71adffb3a6a4d7fc32b36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.4
Realized PnL: $123.85
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $39.54
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $41.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.45

No position

Will 100T make a roster change before August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $41.77
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.12

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $9.5B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.43
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 11?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $20.92
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $20.06
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

No position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will Trump say "Rubio" or "Vance" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.2%
Multiplier: 3.82x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Excursion" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?

Ends May 31, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Idiot" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Top Esports make a roster change before September?

Yes 23% 16.6 shares
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?

Yes 24% 42 shares
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31?

Yes 6% 42 shares
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Yes 21% 21 shares
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in July 2026?

Yes 20% 42 shares
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 37.1% 42 shares
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title

No 23% 42 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 35% 42 shares
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?

Yes 12% 7.13 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?

Yes 38% 21 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 40% 42 shares
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by July 31?

Yes 26.4% 21 shares