Polymarket Trader

r1ch4rd

0x1bb6ff2799b2425ebe14d74d321643cfa68c2454

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.02K
Realized PnL: $32.44K
Win rate: 93.3%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $17.02K
Potential payout: $33.36K
Potential profit: $16.35K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$2.28K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.22K
Potential profit: $19.22K
User PnL: -$6.37K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.31K
Potential profit: $16.31K
User PnL: -$7.84K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 January 12-18?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.76K
Potential profit: $14.76K
User PnL: -$2.8K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.2K
Potential profit: $11.2K
User PnL: -$5.66K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $10.13K
User PnL: -$2.38K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.4K
Potential profit: $9.4K
User PnL: -$2.97K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.25K
Potential profit: $9.25K
User PnL: -$4.92K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.82K
Potential profit: $7.82K
User PnL: -$3.94K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.31K
Potential profit: $7.31K
User PnL: -$3.94K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.9K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.86K
User PnL: -$1.97K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$1.75K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $4.34K
User PnL: -$1.97K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $4.05K
User PnL: -$2.08K

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.81K
User PnL: -$1.97K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$984.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$984.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$1K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$984.82

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$763.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.17
Potential profit: $71.17
User PnL: -$9.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $817.9

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.75K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 46% 669.93 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 58.9% 4,937.36 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 57.3% 2,149.87 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 58.5% 6,841.06 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 28.6% 432.59 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 14.6% 2,557.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 30% 1,649.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 41.8% 714.1 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 55.4% 888.57 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 48.4% 1,016.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 45% 1,024.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 44.4% 1,108.81 shares