Polymarket Trader

0x1BC8DD682A3F67eBdb404CA1acBA3732EefE197A-1774779571876

0x1bc8dd682a3f67ebdb404ca1acba3732eefe197a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $918.93
Realized PnL: $982.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $201.38
Potential payout: $229.89
Potential profit: $28.51
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $205.73
Potential payout: $223.5
Potential profit: $17.77
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.73

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $192.31
Potential payout: $219.78
Potential profit: $27.47
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$7.69

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $103.26
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $114.13
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $112.48
Potential payout: $149.98
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $103.76
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $3.76
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.4
Potential profit: $33.4
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.42
Potential profit: $30.42
User PnL: -$28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.76

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.39

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.71

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.57

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.44

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.34

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.93

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $46

New Zealand position

ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.46

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.64

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.29

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.91

No position

Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.85

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.96

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Joel Schwaerzler position

Oeiras 3: Gastao Elias vs Joel Schwaerzler

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.01

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Down 92% 27.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Down 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Down 65% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Down 99% 86.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Down 93% 26.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Down 94% 26.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Down 91.7% 27.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Down 93% 5.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Down 97% 25.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Down 64% 7.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Down 77% 6.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 98% 5.1 shares