Yes position
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.15
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Polymarket Trader
hao303
0x1bcbccb884a8626431cd25fde855fcd4b4aeb470
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.03
- Realized PnL
- $115.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $18.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.8
Down position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.62
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Satan" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.39
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Down position
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Trump say "All In All Out" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.92
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$16.6
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Cross 10+ times" during Netherlands vs Morocco?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.81
Yes position
Solana above $215 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $9.65
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will FURIA make a roster change before July?Yes 0.4% 19.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 1.5% 6.59 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 1.6% 13.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?No 0.2% 50 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 0.3% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 97% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?No 0.4% 50 shares
- Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 29?Down 0.2% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes 95.1% 49.99 shares
- Will LAB dip to $8 before 2027?Yes 93.7% 10 shares
- Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?Yes 0.2% 50 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5?No 65% 5 shares