No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $283.31
- Potential payout
- $303
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.69
Polymarket Trader
jonatasmend
0x1bce0827684594af562591ecc8c2ef6e8dc172de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $717.21
- Realized PnL
- $716.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $276.45
- Potential payout
- $300.49
- Potential profit
- $24.04
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $157.45
- Potential payout
- $170.59
- Potential profit
- $13.14
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.72
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.38
Y
Yes position
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.02
Yes position
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.06
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.94
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.17
No position
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.49
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.47
No position
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.75
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.27
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.25
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68
No position
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.57
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 93.9% 15.53 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No 93% 160 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 93.3% 33.06 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 96.8% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 87% 303 shares
- Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.9% 264.29 shares
- Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 264.29 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No 75.4% 250 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 94.4% 78 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No 92% 140.49 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No 80% 250 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.2% 137.38 shares