Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $364.51
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Polymarket Trader
FOW
0x1bdddeed9fe6b1cc086a87a1f6f8ba3b2d7b31ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.64K
- Realized PnL
- $4.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$248.99
Yes position
Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $381.48
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $359.26
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$18.52
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $609
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $91
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $56
No position
UK Recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $407.25
- Potential payout
- $612.41
- Potential profit
- $205.16
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $101.1
Yes position
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.51
- Potential profit
- $523.51
- User PnL
- -$125.1
Yes position
Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$44.42
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $164
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $236
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $144
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $156
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.12
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $527.69
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $252.63
No position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.55
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $163.34
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.21
No position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.74
No position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.29
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.36
No position
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.52
Yes position
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.18
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.51
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.38
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.25
No position
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.27
No position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.44
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.33
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.59
No position
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.66
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.91
Yes position
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.89
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 89% 2,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 300 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 88.8% 538.84 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 95.4% 1,250 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes 73.5% 100.1 shares
- Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No 90.2% 313 shares
- Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes 85.1% 449.94 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43% 1,052.63 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes 89% 313.98 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes 92% 305.85 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?No 77.1% 505.33 shares
- Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 78.8% 600 shares