Polymarket Trader

pet

0x1bddf4e97eda2100c1a626936943475b5a8d0b26

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.12K
Realized PnL: $2.75K
Win rate: 92.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.38K
Potential profit: $13.38K
User PnL: -$801.49

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $393.1
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$170.68

Yes position

Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.37

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$113.35

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$1.29K

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $32.85
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$148.47

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $799.99
User PnL: -$385.29

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $735.63
Potential payout: $758.77
Potential profit: $23.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $66.28

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $366.77
Potential payout: $649.27
Potential profit: $282.5
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $55.12

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $511.29
Potential payout: $511.29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.52
Potential profit: $383.52
User PnL: -$191.76

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $147.34
Potential payout: $162.17
Potential profit: $14.84
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

No position

Khamenei seen in public by February 28?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $119.55
Potential payout: $119.55
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $102.04
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.04

Joao Fonseca position

BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $33.22
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $33.22
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$19.93

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $40.11
Potential payout: $40.49
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $16.37
Potential profit: $6.14
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.99

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $68.94

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.84

No position

Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.18

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.71

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.82

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.21

Yes position

Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.27

Yes position

Will Latvia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Yes 99.3% 2,013.37 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 93.8% 161.31 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 93.6% 2,149.01 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 93.1% 628.36 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 93% 372.02 shares
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner

Joao Fonseca 10% 100 shares
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

No 99.7% 10,032.18 shares
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?

No 98.7% 59.78 shares
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?

No 98.7% 59.78 shares
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

No 99.6% 4,819.38 shares
Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?

No 98% 102.04 shares
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?

No 97.8% 511.29 shares