Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $380
- User PnL
- -$163.4
Polymarket Trader
serz
0x1bdebcd5dd109654cc0760c341fba79df1e3ba98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.45
- Realized PnL
- $336.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.89
- Potential profit
- $342.89
- User PnL
- -$120.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.03
- Potential payout
- $10.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.86
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.19
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-27?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 4?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the match between FCSB vs. FK RFS end in a draw?
Ends Sep 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan resign by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the Yukon seat in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 33-34°F on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Arsenal beat Southampton?
Ends Oct 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 99.7% 10.03 shares
- Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No 99.3% 6.42 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Yes 95% 5.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 20 - 26)Yes 82% 2.42 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.2% 5.04 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?No 99.5% 30.15 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No 85.1% 2.88 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No 80% 3.75 shares
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes 44.7% 580.43 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 96% 4.86 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes 43% 380 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No 99.7% 3.21 shares