Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $114.61
- Potential payout
- $76.4K
- Potential profit
- $76.29K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$985.32
Polymarket Trader
0x1be6AeA8094056F1F5E5ECD9150f859a3e02336B-1761247849715
0x1be6aea8094056f1f5e5ecd9150f859a3e02336b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $867.52
- Realized PnL
- -$200.42
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $84.11
- Potential payout
- $4.21K
- Potential profit
- $4.12K
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.89
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $251.87
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $406.86
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$313.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$478.02
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $915.86
- Potential profit
- $905.79
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$89.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601.75
- Potential profit
- $601.75
- User PnL
- -$34.3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $575.06
- Potential profit
- $575.06
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 38.3% 52.21 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 38.7% 1,809.84 shares
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 10.9% 915.86 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes 38.9% 1,227.82 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.4% 4,205.44 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.4% 25,000 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.9% 51,404.85 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes 5.7% 601.75 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes 2.5% 800 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp 38.2% 257.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETUp 56% 154.3 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 17.4% 575.06 shares