Polymarket Trader

Rayd0

0x1bf0663f605af6b908c259959ba57c6f56eae8c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $641.99
Realized PnL: $1.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $126.77
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $515.22
Potential payout: $736.03
Potential profit: $220.81
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$5.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.14
Potential profit: $194.14
User PnL: -$130.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.5
Potential profit: $164.5
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.22
Potential profit: $121.22
User PnL: -$80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.99
Potential profit: $120.99
User PnL: -$100.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.71
Potential profit: $108.71
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.48
Potential profit: $104.48
User PnL: -$51.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.51
Potential profit: $103.51
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.33
Potential profit: $86.33
User PnL: -$75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $53.19
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.41
Potential profit: $38.41
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.73
Potential profit: $34.73
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $32.47
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.48
Potential profit: $30.48
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.41
Potential profit: $28.41
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.6
Potential profit: $23.6
User PnL: -$20.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.17
Potential profit: $21.17
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.19
Potential profit: $19.19
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

No position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130.67

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.64

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.27

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.33

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.32

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.97

No position

Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.31

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 167.63 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 69% 15.02 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 70.7% 751.05 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 1,034.48 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 964.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Down 72% 34.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Down 73% 34.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Up 19% 40.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Up 61.4% 40.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 95% 26.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 83% 37.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 66.8% 37.43 shares