Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.3%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $29.01
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- $9.11
Polymarket Trader
0x1bFa4142d5d8b963f2b22Cba737535FFC8026cb9-1775492436579
0x1bfa4142d5d8b963f2b22cba737535ffc8026cb9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.24
- Realized PnL
- $16.39
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.7%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $18.33
- Potential profit
- $10.51
- Multiplier
- 2.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.72
- Potential payout
- $15.72
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.38
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.73
- Potential profit
- $14.73
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.92
- Potential profit
- $13.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.6% 44.12 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 35% 14.29 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes 30% 16.69 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?Yes 71.8% 13.92 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 67% 14.53 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 68% 7.35 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 47% 21.28 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?No 54.5% 18.33 shares