Yes position
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Polymarket Trader
0x1235651
0x1bfb6053af6856aa0e0015899d588e432d238bea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.92
- Realized PnL
- $448.3
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$6.23
Yes position
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will Samira Sagr win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.55
Yes position
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Matheus Cunha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.85
Yes position
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will Scottish Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Caleb Downs be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No 2.5% 847.36 shares
- Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?Yes 0.2% 999.99 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.1% 431.79 shares
- Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.1% 999.92 shares
- Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.1% 436.1 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 77% 171.22 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 77.4% 0.04 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 72.5% 166.6 shares
- Will Arvell Reese be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?Yes 0.1% 658.31 shares
- Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.1% 999.99 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares