Polymarket Trader

1446e1da-27fe-43db-97fb-9bd41178eb6c

0x1c0e42275bd2ccdd887b5525a58df0cbda6db522

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.35
Realized PnL: $254.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $33.35
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $111.65
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$49.15

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.58

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.1

Fritz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.1

Jets position

Jets vs. Patriots

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Jazz position

Timberwolves vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.3

Kings position

Nuggets vs. Kings

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.4

Nets position

Celtics vs. Nets

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.8

Hornets position

Lakers vs. Hornets

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.5

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Thunder

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

Bills position

Bills vs. Texans

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.2

Nets position

Raptors vs. Nets

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Knicks

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Lithuania win on 2025-11-13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.92
Potential profit: $9.92
User PnL: -$1.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Knicks

Ends Nov 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Heat position

Cavaliers vs. Heat

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Jazz

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

Red Wings position

Red Wings vs. Kraken

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Lions position

Lions vs. Bears

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Falcons position

Saints vs. Falcons

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Lions position

Lions vs. Packers

Ends Nov 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 11% 15 shares
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 24% 5 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 15% 10 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 72% 10 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 45% 10 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 17% 30 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 17% 30 shares
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?

Yes 88% 5 shares
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?

Yes 88% 5 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Yes 63% 70 shares
Lions vs. Bears

Lions 94% 10 shares