0x1c0f40eD583aecA3ad3d15265E710dac30927fe9-1775063806382

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $246.09
Potential profit: $245.47
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $219.23
Potential profit: $218.46
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $217.42
Potential profit: $216.77
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.63
Potential profit: $118.63
User PnL: -$9.49

France position

Spread: France (-3.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $114.29
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $48.4
Potential payout: $93.99
Potential profit: $45.58
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$16.25

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.6%
Current value: $28.9
Potential payout: $91.47
Potential profit: $62.56
Multiplier: 3.16x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.15
Potential profit: $91.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$5

France position

Spread: France (-4.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $73
User PnL: -$13.87

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.04
Potential profit: $66.04
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $62.89
Potential profit: $60.28
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.95
Potential profit: $47.95
User PnL: -$35

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $46.3
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $21.3

Yes position

Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.91
Potential profit: $38.91
User PnL: -$8.11

Yes position

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $25.88
Potential profit: $23.43
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.73

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.69

Colombia position

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.48

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.2

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.62

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET