No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $891.47
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $373.03
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$208.64
Polymarket Trader
7Rufus-Muddle
0x1c0f842b06705661c70b4b032a0325b57fab1720
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $891.47
- Realized PnL
- $450.8
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.74
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $157.21
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $123.6
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$36.13
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$51.94
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$61.88
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$99.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 87% 1,544.97 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 55.2% 1,379 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 2,596.98 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 60.8% 1,701 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 60.8% 1,701 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19.1% 4,436 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.9% 4,421 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.8% 15 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 73.4% 1,343 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 76% 884 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 76.1% 1,217 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 76% 126 shares