Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $69.76
- Potential payout
- $10.73K
- Potential profit
- $10.66K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Polymarket Trader
Burning-Down-The-House
0x1c10bba57e2ccd1a5f4c7222f50bac8d8c30bc75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.63K
- Realized PnL
- $363.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Current value
- $274.92
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- -$216.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $826.14
- Potential payout
- $846.02
- Potential profit
- $19.88
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $56.26
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $455.12
- Potential payout
- $517.18
- Potential profit
- $62.06
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $56.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.32
Yes position
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.62
No position
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Lesotho win on 2025-10-10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Tahesha Way be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 846.02 shares
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 87.4% 400 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.1% 236.32 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.6% 236.32 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 98.2% 228.28 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.1% 126.2 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 94% 126.2 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 77% 517.18 shares
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 86% 400 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 10,732.73 shares
- Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?No 95.9% 15 shares
- Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes 97.7% 21 shares