Polymarket Trader

emp992

0x1c147f2ecc502e1283e5d51d0352cbc386656342

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.71K
Realized PnL: $2.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $217.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$6.84

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $744.82
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $7.7

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $97.87
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.76

No position

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $694.43
Potential payout: $784.67
Potential profit: $90.24
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$5.57

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $674.12
Potential payout: $779.33
Potential profit: $105.21
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$26.87

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $645.78
Potential payout: $742.27
Potential profit: $96.5
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $34.78

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $491.06
Potential payout: $629.56
Potential profit: $138.5
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$8.94

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $388.28
Potential payout: $431.43
Potential profit: $43.14
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$11.72

No position

Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $298.45
Potential payout: $333.46
Potential profit: $35.01
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $311.6
Potential payout: $333.26
Potential profit: $21.66
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.7%
Current value: $99.06
Potential payout: $129.24
Potential profit: $30.18
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $99.57
Potential payout: $106.5
Potential profit: $6.92
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $248.69

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.62

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.63

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.16

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.56

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.9

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.62

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.36

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.82

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.11

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.22

No position

Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.08

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.17

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.92

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.66

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.21

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.54

No position

Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Down 96% 313.57 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 98.9% 101.09 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 97.4% 154.05 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 95.4% 31.46 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Down 73% 1.37 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 99% 3.03 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 97% 82.47 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 89.2% 112.11 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 88.1% 113.48 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 87% 1.15 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 89% 1.12 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Down 99% 89.9 shares