Polymarket Trader

Avvnnnn

0x1c1675a7c3662131acfd00aaabcbc97a6a4f45e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.01K
Realized PnL: $663.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Yes position

Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.01K
Potential profit: $16.01K
User PnL: -$420.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $16K
User PnL: -$7.84K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $6.01K
User PnL: -$3.3K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.55K

No position

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: $987

Yes position

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$987

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.31
Potential payout: $503
Potential profit: $492.69
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $7.13

Yes position

Will "T1" or "Trump mobile" or "Trump phone" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.99
Potential profit: $386.99
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $247
Potential profit: $246.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $247
Potential profit: $245.89
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $438.75K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.24K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.46K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.71K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.17K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.58K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.58K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.58K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.58K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.58K

Yes position

Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.73K

Yes position

Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.58K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Yes position

Will no leader be out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.89K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 149 shares
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 149 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 98.9% 2,400 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 100 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7% 100 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.8% 100 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 100 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 95% 100 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 528,317.82 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

No 99.9% 1,750 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 1,360,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 1,234,952.8 shares