Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $481.75
- Potential payout
- $23.5K
- Potential profit
- $23.02K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $387.35
Polymarket Trader
TheWolfOfPoly
@TheWolfOfPoly
0x1c1e841584db14084e10e7dca2ad0ab7b60dbfe7
Verified Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.33K
- Realized PnL
- $375.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $196.99
- Potential payout
- $11.26K
- Potential profit
- $11.06K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $151.77
Yes position
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $10.92K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $40.62
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $124.83
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $44.83
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.94K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $24.83
Yes position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$89.79
Yes position
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $6.95
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$17.33
Yes position
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.76
- Potential payout
- $941.23
- Potential profit
- $937.46
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $8.87
- Potential payout
- $771.44
- Potential profit
- $762.57
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $534.05
- Potential profit
- $524.97
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$135.27
Yes position
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.4
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $193.4
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$19.4
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $164.7
- Potential payout
- $183
- Potential profit
- $18.3
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $48.23
Yes position
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $6.84
- Potential payout
- $132.89
- Potential profit
- $126.05
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$25.05
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $7.62
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $52.38
- Multiplier
- 7.87x
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $55.06
- Potential profit
- $53.88
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $45.28
- Potential profit
- $42.07
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $39.46
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $34.46
- Potential profit
- $34.31
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $12.84
- Potential payout
- $28.54
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $23.58
- Potential profit
- $17.57
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.09K
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.9K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.89K
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.26K
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.49K
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.62K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.26K
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.8K
No position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.99K
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.34K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.87K
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.24K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.65K
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.17K
No position
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.73K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.01K
No position
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.46K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.02K
No position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78K
Yes position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?Yes 2.1% 227.29 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 13,500 shares
- Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 3,574 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.5% 6,393.35 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.9% 4,773 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 2,350 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?Yes 4% 60 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?Yes 2.9% 200 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No 84% 289.99 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 64% 457.67 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 2.7% 2,893.96 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes 20% 97.36 shares