No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.55
- Potential profit
- $530.55
- User PnL
- -$81.32
Polymarket Trader
5atka
0x1c266db0f8529b1f25b77123e9c0c918ac2f6e31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $359.93
- Realized PnL
- $8.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 21?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$18.9
No position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$137.14
Yes position
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $462.16
- Potential profit
- $462.16
- User PnL
- -$55.46
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360.49
- Potential profit
- $360.49
- User PnL
- -$13.63
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.8
- Potential profit
- $349.8
- User PnL
- -$47.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.82
- Potential profit
- $320.82
- User PnL
- -$107.61
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.01
- Potential profit
- $304.01
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $78
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $222
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$74
Wes Mena position
Power Slap 18: Wes Mena vs. Zakir Naimabayev (Fight 5)
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$124.2
No position
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$56.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$22.85
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$136
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$73.83
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$49.48
No position
Will Trump post "President DJT" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$16.2
No position
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.11
- Potential profit
- $299.11
- User PnL
- -$18.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.31
- Potential profit
- $294.31
- User PnL
- -$19.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.94
- Potential profit
- $278.94
- User PnL
- -$6.77
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.13
- Potential profit
- $278.13
- User PnL
- -$120.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.93
- Potential profit
- $266.93
- User PnL
- -$18.27
No position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265
- Potential profit
- $265
- User PnL
- -$33.8
No position
Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.88
- Potential profit
- $257.88
- User PnL
- -$42.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.04
- Potential profit
- $252.04
- User PnL
- -$99.92
No position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.74
- Potential profit
- $240.74
- User PnL
- -$48.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.06
- Potential profit
- $240.06
- User PnL
- -$32.57
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $231.72
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$77.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.29
- Potential profit
- $235.29
- User PnL
- -$83.11
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $234.03
- Potential profit
- $232.16
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$188.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.01
- Potential profit
- $233.01
- User PnL
- -$35.49
No position
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.88
- Potential profit
- $232.88
- User PnL
- -$102.18
No position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.46
- Potential profit
- $230.46
- User PnL
- -$92.19
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.76
- Potential profit
- $229.76
- User PnL
- -$42.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.7
- Potential profit
- $229.7
- User PnL
- -$101.97
No position
Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.47
- Potential profit
- $229.47
- User PnL
- -$58.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.08
- Potential profit
- $225.08
- User PnL
- -$122.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.95
- Potential profit
- $223.95
- User PnL
- -$21.94
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $54.73
- Potential payout
- $223.39
- Potential profit
- $168.66
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $30.16
Yes position
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $28.86
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $193.14
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$35.88
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $188.19
- Potential payout
- $220.1
- Potential profit
- $31.91
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $44.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.02
- Potential profit
- $219.02
- User PnL
- -$11.68
No position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.62
- Potential profit
- $218.62
- User PnL
- -$46.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.86
- Potential profit
- $217.86
- User PnL
- -$8.53
Yes position
Megaquake by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.98
- Potential profit
- $216.98
- User PnL
- -$21.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "N Word" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.13
- Potential profit
- $216.13
- User PnL
- -$19.02
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.01
- Potential profit
- $215.01
- User PnL
- -$145.06
Yes position
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.52
- Potential profit
- $214.52
- User PnL
- -$58.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.79
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.49
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.42
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.5
Yes position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.39
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.61
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.84
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.6
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.58
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.11
Yes position
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.89
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.93
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.61
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.68
No position
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174
No position
Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.23
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.42
Yes position
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.64
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.37
Yes position
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.91
No position
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.38
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.44
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.56
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.18
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.88
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.46
Yes position
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.85
Yes position
Will "Melania" score at least 10 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.78
Yes position
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.76
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.72
No position
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.83
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 14% 29.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No 82% 5 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 47% 9.27 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 6.12 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?No 11% 60.1 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 79% 9.89 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 39% 45.14 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 12% 19.45 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No 36% 51.86 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?No 13% 19.44 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 39% 100 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No 61% 10.35 shares