Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- User PnL
- -$249.99
Polymarket Trader
leban21
0x1c2d99b312cf8679c7aff3c1b896fd4281f564bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.91K
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$532.97
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $184.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $937.5
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $701.83
- Potential profit
- $701.83
- User PnL
- -$42.11
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $639.96
- Potential profit
- $639.96
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.01
- Potential profit
- $433.01
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $425.27
- Potential profit
- $425.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $343.44
- Potential payout
- $347.44
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $143.44
Yes position
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.37
- Potential profit
- $338.37
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.46
- Potential profit
- $316.46
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.47
- Potential profit
- $109.47
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.61
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.64
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.14
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.11
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "McSweeney" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.74
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6% 701.83 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 16% 937.5 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 9.1% 1,063.74 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 33.7% 580.32 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 22.3% 1,080.97 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 450 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 5.2% 961.54 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 270.27 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 5.5% 362.71 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 152.7 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 434.78 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.4% 424.32 shares