Yes position
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- User PnL
- -$141.55
Polymarket Trader
Sinjo07
0x1c2dc35789d7bd7d0f89c9dbb5d3bf1c494a1b72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$9.32
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$67.8
No position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $472.57
- Potential profit
- $472.57
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2026-01-16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.6
- Potential profit
- $329.6
- User PnL
- -$130.93
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.38
- Potential profit
- $226.38
- User PnL
- -$13.84
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.19
- Potential profit
- $119.19
- User PnL
- -$19.07
Under position
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.76
- Potential profit
- $36.76
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.07
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.03
No position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.63
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$17.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.65
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$155.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 3.2% 3,775.28 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 12% 1,013 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 17% 1,013 shares
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes 31% 555.51 shares
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes 27% 555.52 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?Yes 8.5% 472.57 shares
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.9% 1,053.62 shares
- Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 3.1% 643.01 shares
- Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes 0.1% 4,460 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?No 82.7% 271.3 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?No 30% 271.3 shares
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?Yes 33% 76.92 shares