Polymarket Trader

dafa31fdhvbsd

0x1c36d38d9077e254ee832b7d1caeddff61e5fcad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.28
Realized PnL: $61.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 12PM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $22.78
Potential payout: $23.66
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $15.47
Potential payout: $15.96
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $10.82
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.75
Potential profit: $8.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 85.2%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $7.22
Potential profit: $1.07
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $6.76
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.44
Potential profit: $6.44
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $6.41
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.2
Potential profit: $6.2
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $5.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $5.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.33
Potential profit: $5.33
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12PM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.95
Potential profit: $3.95
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Solana Up or Down on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 28?

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Trump x Putin talk by July 31?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 97.2% 23.66 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 92.4% 10.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 94% 15.96 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 85% 17.65 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 97% 10.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 97.6% 10.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 96.8% 11.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 98% 13.27 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

No 94.7% 12.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 86% 9.3 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 97.8% 10.22 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Yes 93% 16.13 shares