No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $206.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $400.5
Polymarket Trader
0x1c3DC2273D64eBE2A99fA39dD8883130c8792FF5-1767525426111
@_meuriz
0x1c3dc2273d64ebe2a99fa39dd8883130c8792ff5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.82K
- Realized PnL
- $5.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $940.97
- Potential payout
- $949.99
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- User PnL
- $162.47
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $720.9
- Potential payout
- $823.88
- Potential profit
- $102.99
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $143.19
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.88
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $543.13
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $162.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $337.5
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $32.5
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $7.44
- Potential payout
- $479.99
- Potential profit
- $472.55
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $11.92
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $438.08
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $394.6
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$14.6
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $22.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $377.4
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $18.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $381.8
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $394.79
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $26.43
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $323.58
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$6.83
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $67.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $232.35
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- -$43.35
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $291.6
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $279
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $155
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $172
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $187
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $150.01
- Potential profit
- $147.76
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$35.25
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$7.67
Yes position
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $129.99
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.1
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$19.1
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.99
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.35
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $408.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.55
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.66
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.92
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.84
Yes position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.1
No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.21
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.64
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.5
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.6
Yes position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.92
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.91
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.9
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?No 5.9% 130 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Yes 82.5% 30.3 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown 10% 25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 37% 50 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 49% 70 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 90% 55 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 3.4% 299.99 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 22% 120 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 60% 190 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.7% 300 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 6.8% 199.97 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 18% 100 shares