Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $120.48
- Potential payout
- $963.83
- Potential profit
- $843.35
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$102.82
Polymarket Trader
whskrz
0x1c40d2aca02af38d7faffd3397366346fa04445c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $5.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $78.57
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $635.71
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $247.22
- Potential payout
- $696.4
- Potential profit
- $449.18
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $36.8
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $71.79
- Potential payout
- $525.91
- Potential profit
- $454.12
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$12.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $36.59
- Potential payout
- $487.87
- Potential profit
- $451.28
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$163.41
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $68.25
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $321.75
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$27.25
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $66.07
- Potential payout
- $314.61
- Potential profit
- $248.54
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$133.93
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$63
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $174.73
- Potential payout
- $225.45
- Potential profit
- $50.73
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $50.73
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $161.84
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$60.26
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $104.57
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.45
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$51.05
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $47.69
- Potential profit
- $44.71
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $36.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.44
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $746.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.12
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.98
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $117
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.51
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.54
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.98
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $69.86
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $30.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.56
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 25% 190 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 700 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 24% 200 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 963.82 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 940 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 987.65 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 525.91 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 65.9% 151.71 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 41% 487.87 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 89% 112.25 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 61.4% 162.9 shares