Polymarket Trader

wc852

0x1c4251b53998814317bd159a7e746730384b6805

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.5K
Realized PnL: $317.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $188.68
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $81.1

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$849.99

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $726.58
Potential profit: $726.58
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.95
Potential profit: $499.95
User PnL: -$329.97

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $180.24
Potential payout: $180.51
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $9.74

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$42.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $107.1
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $6.53
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $97.59
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$2.41

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.6%
Current value: $31.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $68.45
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$60.45

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $53.49
Potential payout: $53.62
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $16.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.3

No position

Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Clippers position

Spread: Rockets (-7.5)

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

No position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 200 shares
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Thunder 35% 20 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 43% 20 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 43% 70 shares
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Thunder 36% 20 shares
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

No 88% 400 shares
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?

No 94.8% 105.51 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 68.8% 726.58 shares
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

No 97.3% 102.77 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 97.4% 102.67 shares
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

No 69.2% 144.5 shares
Clippers vs. Nuggets

Clippers 31% 322.58 shares