Polymarket Trader

kris86

0x1c447f867ec52cf3e900edfb1c9e5c2ca24e5c97

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $96.4
Realized PnL: $21.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $115.13
Potential profit: $114.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $20.94
Potential payout: $111.69
Potential profit: $90.75
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $4.04

No position

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $13.44
Potential payout: $18.54
Potential profit: $5.1
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $17.84
Potential profit: $10.43
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $11.96
Potential profit: $5.98
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $9.43
Potential payout: $11.71
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $9.11
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $8.04
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 1.75 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 6.45 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 1.59 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares