Polymarket Trader

Surls

0x1c44a03d01a9336a9369005176a1559f3478b971

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.49
Realized PnL: -$4.74K
Win rate: 88.2%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.98
Potential profit: $249.98
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$4.6

No position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$31.3

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $57.49
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.59
Potential profit: $45.59
User PnL: -$16.41

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Broncos

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$17.2

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Eagles

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$12.25

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.7

Packers position

Packers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.4

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. Eagles

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.2

Broncos position

Broncos vs. Colts

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.4

Lions position

Commanders vs. Lions

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$7.1

Yes position

Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Vikings

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

Yes position

Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Thunder position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Falcons

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Buccaneers position

Buccaneers vs. Falcons

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Bills position

Ravens vs. Bills

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Buccaneers position

Buccaneers vs. Panthers

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Packers position

Dolphins vs. Packers

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Michigan State position

New Mexico vs. Michigan State

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Angelina Jolie win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Robert Downey Jr. win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?

Ends Mar 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Lions position

Bears vs. Lions

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.05

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.85K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Yes 75% 40 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?

Yes 29% 30 shares
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?

Yes 61% 40 shares
Will Angelina Jolie win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?

No 42% 5 shares
Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?

Yes 44% 5 shares
Buccaneers vs. Panthers

Buccaneers 71% 30 shares
Bears vs. Lions

Lions 82% 12 shares
Will Robert Downey Jr. win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?

Yes 94% 43.01 shares
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

No 57% 100 shares