Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $366.04
- Potential profit
- $366.04
- User PnL
- -$11.99
Polymarket Trader
310
0x1c4910402874802b089c1d0b4ce1f3c583858262
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.04
- Realized PnL
- $136.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $61.89
- Potential profit
- $59.13
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $22.86
- Potential profit
- $20.12
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.92
- Potential profit
- $13.92
- User PnL
- -$8.9
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $7.79
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.04
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
No position
Another Canada election called by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $5.12
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.9% 1.12 shares
- UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?Yes 80% 6.25 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 48.1% 22.86 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 85.4% 11.71 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yes 23.2% 43.11 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 96.1% 1.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 96% 5.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 83% 1.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 80% 6.16 shares
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?No 91.8% 1.09 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 69% 7.25 shares