Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.91
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Polymarket Trader
maxiwere46
0x1c4be3ebeea17860324b3adc4af0c70ff8dfff11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.99
- Realized PnL
- $101.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $13.17
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $7.47
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.48
- Potential profit
- $7.48
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?Up 43% 2.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31% 6.45 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 46% 10.87 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 86.2% 4.44 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 39.6% 7.58 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 3.2% 9.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 78% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 48% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp 99% 5.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp 98% 5.1 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 17.7% 17.24 shares