Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.47
- Potential profit
- $20.47
- User PnL
- -$17.6
Polymarket Trader
Karagf4
0x1c5038c50687de8e216ff442871f5f5e84400397
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.97
- Realized PnL
- $10.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Kings position
Pacers vs. Kings
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Thunder position
Nuggets vs. Thunder
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Warriors position
Nuggets vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Warriors
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Kings position
Bulls vs. Kings
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Wizards position
Pacers vs. Wizards
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 50°F or higher on January 19?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
FUT Esports position
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No 99.8% 19 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 99.5% 32 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.5% 16 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 98% 16 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99% 19 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No 98% 19 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 99.8% 51.1 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 99.1% 29 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 97% 29 shares
- Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 99.4% 29.95 shares
- Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 97% 29.96 shares
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaFUT Esports 99% 26.99 shares