Yes position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $87.61
- Potential payout
- $932
- Potential profit
- $844.39
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- -$98.79
Polymarket Trader
imcultured
@HollidayJe40386
0x1c557495a1186c489bfd814203794a1d9ecb8ade
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.41
- Realized PnL
- $1.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $165.32
- Potential payout
- $209
- Potential profit
- $43.68
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $27.59
Yes position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $11.82
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 13 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $335.92
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.02
Yes position
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $265.68
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.47
Yes position
Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $126.96
Central Arkansas Bears position
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lions
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.76
No position
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.32
Yes position
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.85
No position
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.16
No position
Will Noëp win Eesti Laul 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.15
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.62
No position
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $36.97
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.97
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $30.84
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.06
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.95
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $24.85
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
No position
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.22
Milwaukee Admirals position
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $20.58
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?No 36.4% 511 shares
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?No 65.9% 720 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 56% 395 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 56% 119 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No 51% 699 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No 69% 699 shares
- Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?No 1% 664 shares
- Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?No 73% 664 shares
- Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?No 27% 1,093 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 50% 514 shares
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?No 7% 523 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 31% 740 shares