No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $423.32
- Potential payout
- $443.04
- Potential profit
- $19.72
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $73.32
Polymarket Trader
08112022
0x1c5ffb44ac5d9df9c982c0d24e9d9dd39de68d07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $424.28
- Realized PnL
- $235.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.67
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.68
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.64
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 443.04 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 67% 350.52 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 96.4% 234.85 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes 94.6% 26.4 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 86% 1.16 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?No 97.4% 7.19 shares
- Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 65% 200 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 95% 137.94 shares
- Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 88% 130.68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 84.4% 17.76 shares
- Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 87.2% 114.64 shares