Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.86
Polymarket Trader
Bob318713
0x1c63910504b23d4c1cfdfc87a0ce483ccd91ee42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $540.74
- Realized PnL
- $759.76
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$274.85
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $35.4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $964.6
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$14.6
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $465.12
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $106.78
- Potential payout
- $402.93
- Potential profit
- $296.16
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.55
- Potential profit
- $399.55
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $77.91
- Potential payout
- $293.99
- Potential profit
- $216.08
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $27.91
Yes position
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $116.01
- Potential payout
- $269.79
- Potential profit
- $153.78
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $16.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Micron (MU) close above $920 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $108.16
- Potential payout
- $216.33
- Potential profit
- $108.16
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $134.82
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $50.6
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $68.45
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.2
- Potential profit
- $102.2
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.68
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.71
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.18
Ansem position
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $26.92
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.28
Yes position
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$16.52
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "DOGE" or "doge" during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will inflation increase by 2.6% in November?
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.97
Yes position
Will $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$68.68
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Micron (MU) close above $920 end of June?No 46.2% 216.33 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes 13% 1,428.57 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 28% 178.57 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes 14% 1,428.57 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 5% 1,000 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 42% 119.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 88.7% 90.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 85.7% 116.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 86% 159.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 3.8% 263.16 shares
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 9.8% 102.2 shares