No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $69.48
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $0.1
Polymarket Trader
realdi
0x1c6520b47ef92b684ea195dc215717db75a1acd6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $205.93
- Realized PnL
- $480.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $65.84
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $46.63
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $18.39
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.3%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $14.94
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $22.05
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.27
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.3
LGD Gaming position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.84
Wizards position
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.24
Top Esports position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.98
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.08
Ultra Prime position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.54
BNK FEARX position
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.94
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.18
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Jazz
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.75
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Rockets
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
BNK FEARX position
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4AM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
OKSavingsBank BRION position
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96
St. Bonaventure Bonnies position
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Duquesne Dukes
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Magic position
Magic vs. Heat
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
LNG Esports position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
LNG Esports position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Sabalenka position
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 66 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 68 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 8 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 87 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No 98.8% 8 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 98.8% 9.99 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 76% 10 shares
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo 99.9% 20 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 70 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 24.99 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 20 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 77 shares