Chiefs position
Bills vs. Chiefs
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Polymarket Trader
reilly-ut517
0x1c68b8cc0053a9634727d423186c72e654f57ab8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Chiefs position
Bills vs. Chiefs
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 73% 1.49 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 74% 1.49 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 65% 1.58 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 70% 1.57 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 66% 2.16 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 51% 2.16 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 74% 1.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 73% 1.51 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 29% 2.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 54% 2.04 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 76% 1.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 61% 1.48 shares