Polymarket Trader

rmpkid

0x1c6e60550dec0455f1e58d9d672d2ab0d6334391

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $746.62
Realized PnL: $14.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $15.95
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$39.15

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.7%
Current value: $99.7
Potential payout: $169.99
Potential profit: $70.29
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$39.32

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $99.23
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $35.78
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $96.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $55.78
Potential payout: $97
Potential profit: $41.23
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $2.48

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $44.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $47.4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $48.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 94.1%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

No 55% 19.97 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

No 54% 5 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

No 70% 100 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

No 76% 35 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 91.7% 23.65 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 96.7% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 3.8% 119.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 3.8% 1,330 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 81% 100 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 81% 100 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81.9% 70 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81.7% 99.99 shares