No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Polymarket Trader
0x73ac2956bbd5298c2ec88ee11f700f34b6f5ec44
0x1c6f1a0682239acbb16d9f3c2e0475cdca2173e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.7
- Realized PnL
- $64.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.65
- Potential profit
- $186.65
- User PnL
- -$70.9
No position
Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.53
- Potential profit
- $31.53
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.51
- Potential payout
- $20.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.66
No position
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.25
- Potential payout
- $16.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.51
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $10.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Indiana position
Oregon vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
Yes position
Will Indiana win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
Indiana position
Miami vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Another ATACMS strike into Russian territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETDown 48% 20.51 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes 95.9% 10.43 shares
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes 65% 18.31 shares
- Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?Yes 98.5% 11.23 shares
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes 21.1% 42.65 shares
- Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?No 35% 14.29 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.7% 14.92 shares
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes 37.9% 65.92 shares
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes 43.1% 34.77 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?Yes 84% 13.77 shares
- Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?No 29% 17.24 shares